What Is the Exact Economic Scale of Maritime Shipping

2016.07.22


According to Suzhou Cosc Marine Machinery Co., Ltd., there are generally several approaches to compare the shipping industry with the scale of the world economy. One is to measure the value of seaborne‑traded goods. For example, global iron‑ore trade volume reached 1.3 billion tons in 2015. Calculated at an average annual iron‑ore price of USD 50 per ton, it amounted to approximately USD 68 billion, roughly equivalent to the GDP of Kenya. Nevertheless, this paled in comparison with the value of seaborne crude‑oil trade in the same year. The OECD estimated that the total value of global trade stood at USD 16.5 trillion. Measured by trade volume, 85 % of goods were transported by sea. Admittedly, seaborne cargo generally carries relatively low unit value. Even assuming that seaborne‑trade value accounts for only 50 % of total trade value, global seaborne‑trade value would still exceed USD 8 trillion, nearly comparable to China’s economic scale.

According to Suzhou Cosc Marine Machinery Co., Ltd., another method for comparing the shipping industry against the world‑economic scale is to estimate the value of ship‑related assets, such as annual investment in new‑shipbuilding and the annual value of the global fleet. These asset values can be benchmarked against the size of national economies.

However, Suzhou Cosc Marine Machinery Co., Ltd. states that measuring the annual revenue of the fleet may be a more appropriate way for comparison against gross domestic product. In the difficult market year of 2016, the ClarkSea Index averaged USD 9,733 per day. Based on around 22 000 active vessels across major shipping segments, the annual revenue was approximately USD 77 billion. Using the same calculation method, annual revenue hit as high as USD 189 billion in 2007, equivalent to the economic scale of Greece, a traditional shipping power.

Suzhou Cosc Marine Machinery Co., Ltd. notes that while the shipping industry’s impact on the global economy can sometimes be hard to measure directly, some shipping sectors are comparable to certain large‑sized world economies in terms of economic volume, especially during prosperous market cycles.



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